33 days! We are only 33 days away from the Kentucky Derby! The Derby picture is getting a bit more in focus, we got five prep races left to go and 695 points up for grabs
Okay, I cheated. I should have put this out on Friday but with the Florida Derby and the Spiral the next day I had to put it off. I’m sorry, I really couldn’t resit.
If the Derby was run tomorrow, here is the field and how many points they have
- Gun Runner, 151
- Nyquist, 130
- Lani, 100
- Mohaymen, 80
- Destin, 50
- Cupid, 50
- Oscar Nominated, 50
- Danzing Candy, 50
- Shagaf, 50
- Mor Spirit, 44
- Tom’s Ready, 44
- Majesto, 40
- Mo Tom, 32
- Fellowship, 32
- Exaggerator, 26
- Whitmore, 24
- Laoban, 22
- Azar, 20
- Forevamo, 20
- Dazzling Gem, 20
- AE Zulu, 20
- AE Outwork, 20
If there is one thing I love in racing it is undefeated horses, and we still have two with bae Nyquist and Shagaf.
Still maintain that Greenpointcrusader will never win another race.
That Florida Derby was so great, mostly because I am a huge fan of Nyquist. Admittedly I wasn’t that much on the boat last year, but he is great. Him drifting in the final stages is a bit worrisome, but he also wasn’t asked for run until the final furlong. While Mohaymen was being hard ridden at the quarter pole Mario and Nyquist were sitting pretty. It looked bad on Mohaymen and looked awesome on Nyquist. He doubled his earnings in just one race, had 4G1s to his name and now has $3.3mil in the bank. He’s already been sold to stud to Darley so it is really smooth sailing from here with him. Lots of people are questioning the 10f with Nyquist because he is by Uncle Mo which is a solid concern, but since we have an absolutely tiny sample size of Mo babies its something to recognize but not give a hard knock too. Tapit went a few years before he had a 10f winning colt, and now one of his kiddos won the Belmont. Pedigree is overrated.
Last 10 Derby winners at this point (April 1) of the year.
American Pharoah: Dazzled winning in the slop in the Rebel Stakes.
California Chrome: Dominantly won the California Derby on January 25 and did very well stepping up in the San Felipe winning by more than seven lengths.
Orb: Won his stakes debut in the Fountain of Youth and made it four in a row by winning the Florida Derby comfortably over Itsmyluckyday.
I’ll Have Another: Stakes-placed at two, but stepped into the Derby picture after winning the Robert B Lewis. Did not race in march.
Animal Kingdom: Four races and two wins under his belt including the Spiral Stakes.
Super Saver: Won the Kentucky Jockey Club at Churchill Downs at two and finished third in the Tampa Bay Derby.
Mine That Bird: Had a fantastic juvenile season at Woodbine, but absolutely sucked in the Breeders’ Cup. Came in second in the Borderland Derby at Sunland Park and then was fourth in the Sunland Derby.
Big Brown: Only raced once at two, raced once in an allowance in 2008 before winning the Florida Derby easily. Three races under his belt before the KY Derby
Street Sense: Had a sensational win in the Breeders’ Cup at Churchill Downs. Opened 2007 with a gritty win in the Tampa Bay Derby
Barbaro: Won the Tropical Park Derby on the turf on New Year’s Day and took home a win in the Holy Bull and the Florida Derby.
With five weeks between the FL Derby and Kentucky people were wondering if that as too long of a break for Barbaro, meanwhile they are now wondering if it is not enough for Nyquist. Funny how quickly that mindset changes, eh?